In 2008, Barack Obama very effectively presented a vision of
a better America, a nation of change, a new era of unified cooperation in
Washington, and a citizenry acting on the chant of "Yes, we can!"
Critics say that after inauguration he failed to deliver on
these promises, but nevertheless he projected a moving vision and rallied a
majority of voters behind it.
So far, neither candidate has done this in 2012.
If neither candidate can effectively articulate a great
vision of the future, the incumbent will most likely win the election.
For this reason, the Obama campaign may be waiting to
promote any sweeping grand vision of American leadership.
Why risk it if they're winning anyway?
Thus the ball is in Romney's court.
If Romney rolls out a great, Reaganesque vision of America,
the Obama team will have to do the same and we'll have a great debate in 2012.
Right now the high vision of the campaigns is, "We can't go
back to the failed policies of Bush," versus "We must repeal Obamacare and
Barack Obama or our economy will fall off a cliff in the next four years."
Neither of these reach the level of a high debate.
They effectively speak to the base of each party, but the
base was always going to vote for its candidate.
The real issue is independents, and neither side has
effectively spoken to them.
President Obama is ahead in this battle because he has
reached out in petite visions to special interest groups from Latinos to
same-sex groups to women.
As Jimmy Fallon said in a late night comedy sketch,
"President Obama said Americans need someone who will wake up every single day
and fight for their jobs. Then he said, 'But until we find that guy, I'm still
your best choice.'"
We are experiencing a mini-campaign, focused on negative
bantering about the small things.
Even the one big topic of debate, health care, is being
discussed in micro-terms: about pre-existing conditions, adult children on
their parents' insurance, etc.
No candidate has yet taken bold leadership on the grand
scale, to capture the American mind and propel the nation on a powerful,
compelling journey toward the future.