Is a Pacific Century Inevitable

Published: Mon, 04/16/12

 
 
Email #307
   Social Leader Daily by Oliver DeMille
 
Is a Pacific Century Inevitable
 
We are witnessing the rise of the Orient and the relative decline of the West, according to many experts. Some have even called the next hundred years the "Pacific Century" (which includes the Middle East in "East").
 
Is this just a cyclical pattern of around 500 years where East and West exchange leadership roles? Or is something else at work here?
 
If the age of superstition was followed by the age of monarchy, then the age of religion and now the age of science, it may be that Asia's rise is the natural result of a maturing scientific era.
 
In the West, Plato's competing ideals of the good, the true and the beautiful became a cultural battle between religion, science and art. For much of Western Civilization, an uneasy alliance of art and religion faced off against an embryonic, youthful and later rebellious scientific world.
 
In this environment, technology evolved in a place mostly free from, and even angry at, the philosophical values of religion and art.
 
As some Manhattan Project scientists lamented, they were so focused on how to make an atomic bomb that they never seriously considered how it would be used.
 
Asia took a different path. Science made friends with religion, especially Taoism and Confucianism, and it also made an ally of art. Indeed, through art Buddhism and Shinto were brought into the fold.
 
The two results of this were that science grew very slowly, befitting a society where the experts were simultaneously monks and artists and scientists, and it developed in a space where morality, strength and symmetry were all considered.
 
When imperialism and more recently communism and capitalism gained ascendancy in the Orient, these new "ideals" took the place of the older religions. They were not enemies of science and technology, but its natural allies.
 
Science became the tool and passion of the state, and technology is seen and pursued as an extension of cultural values.
 
In short, in a world where science is all grown up and in its prime, the West is uncomfortable with it while the East has fully embraced its values and methods.
 
As Jillayne Thomas pointed out in the late 2000s, for example, every member of the Chinese politburu was an engineer by trade. The West, in contrast, is run by professional politicians, attorneys and some businesspeople.
 
Once in a while a medical doctor gets elected, but as engineers and physicists are fond of pointing out, medicine is a practice rather than a hard science.
 
What this means to the future remains to be seen. Science has become so specialized that in our day that elected officials need full-time experts just to interpret what the experts are saying, and the regular citizens are left dependent on politicians, media and other specialists just to tell us what the experts are telling the President that the experts are saying the specialists have said.
 
In such a model, top-down political systems like those that predominate in the East are more efficient in dealing with and overcoming challenges and in envisioning, planning and implementing grand visions.
 
If America is to compete in such a world and also maintain its freedom, the regular citizens need to take our education a lot more seriously.
 
A simple read of the great books of civilization, including but not limited to the scientific works, will make all the difference (this is not too simplistic--these readings are deep). Otherwise, the Eastern model of top-down government will continue to gain power and ascendancy.
 
 
 
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